Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 73.653493 82.805549 92.193737 102.513153 113.507191 124.841001 137.379326
2025-01-19 57.749402 70.614865 84.449526 100.305725 117.854207 136.568429 157.922967
2025-01-26 51.459243 66.768211 83.772586 103.802940 126.507808 151.222552 179.940459
2025-02-02 46.223248 63.276645 82.769419 106.274273 133.450701 163.526393 198.977556
2025-02-09 40.129244 58.067908 79.177270 105.222103 135.910212 170.400719 211.592295
2025-02-16 35.029186 53.534684 75.930340 104.160736 138.001743 176.563045 223.148534
2025-02-23 31.605393 50.757207 74.520626 105.034849 142.149235 184.925984 237.091522
2025-03-02 28.198429 47.682897 72.482805 104.918818 144.932358 191.556929 248.921145
2025-03-09 25.537827 45.361833 71.202812 105.571522 148.508244 199.022146 261.652697
2025-03-16 22.461059 42.193644 68.608865 104.386363 149.688404 203.525335 270.812293
2025-03-23 20.749484 40.814678 68.257938 105.963638 154.206006 211.979813 284.624619
2025-03-30 19.310102 39.707281 68.178161 107.818542 159.020147 220.765469 298.825435
2025-04-06 16.988380 37.097166 65.934509 106.781895 160.185060 225.151507 307.840605
2025-04-13 14.469726 33.932789 62.731465 104.320565 159.423563 227.098631 313.863644
2025-04-20 13.951269 33.963219 64.054025 107.932677 166.453431 238.660824 331.563369
2025-04-27 13.177458 33.492166 64.601152 110.458411 172.064550 248.467092 347.145375
2025-05-04 11.538736 31.369233 62.597344 109.381868 172.911537 252.287809 355.379364
2025-05-11 10.062923 29.368809 60.656406 108.294969 173.669740 255.943649 363.373482
2025-05-18 9.171453 28.353859 60.156906 109.190042 177.020853 262.852023 375.377993
2025-05-25 8.146382 26.962103 58.989315 109.071233 178.975424 267.964057 385.145117
2025-06-01 7.368493 25.972178 58.398558 109.739537 181.959728 274.373855 396.525384
2025-06-08 6.321006 24.274905 56.567924 108.526024 182.340220 277.412715 403.673165
2025-06-15 5.849877 23.774268 56.672452 110.141008 186.567592 285.400464 417.034230